That was our initial idea for estimating potential returns

Our site starts with the assumption that recent returns will start to revert to the long term average.That was our initial idea for estimating potential returns. We discussed it with a noted finance academic, who found it reasonable, but we ran into a problem when we started ranking stocks this way, after running them through a screen to see if they could be hedged with optimal puts. The ones with the highest “6m Exp Returns” invariably had two things in common: they were very inexpensive to hedge with puts, and their recent charts were flat.

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